Prepare a Managerial Report structured as follows:
2.1 Structure and present your paper in the form of a Managerial Report, with a cover page, table of content, executive summary, main body, appendixes.
2.2 Define and present the management decision problem as a decision tree that shows the logical sequence of the decision problem.
2.3 Using expected values and the given probability of competition, formulate your recommendation for the marketing of one of the two video games.
2.4 Show a risk profile for your recommended decision.
2.5 Use sensitivity analysis to determine what the probability of competition for Space Pirates would have to be for you to change your recommended decision alternative.
2.6 Apply software tools for the quantitative decision making (TreePlan/Excel)
Expected length of Assignment 2: up to 4 pages APA format, excluding cover page, table of content, and appendixes
ideo Tech is considering marketing only one of two new video games for the coming holiday
season: Battle Pacific or Space Pirates. Battle Pacific is a unique game and appears to have no
competition. Estimated profits (in thousands of dollars) under high, medium and low demand are
as follows:
Market Demand
Battle Pacific High Medium Low
Profit $1000 $700 $100
Probability 0.2 0.5 0.3
Video Tech is optimistic about its Space Pirates game, however, it is concerned that the game’s
profitability will be affected by a competitor’s introduction of a video game viewed as similar to
Space Pirates. Estimated profits (in thousands of dollars) with and without competition are as
follows:
Market Demand
Space Pirates
With Competition
High Medium Low
Profit $750 $350 ‐$75
Probability 0.3 0.4 0.3
Market Demand
Space Pirates
Without Competition
High Medium Low
Profit $1600 $800 $400
Probability 0.5 0.3 0.2
For planning purposes, Video Tech believes there is a 0.6 probability that its competition will
produce a new game similar to Space Pirates for the upcoming Holiday Season.
Complete the following:
a) Using [login to view URL], create the decision tree for Video Tech problem. State your
recommended decision for Video Tech according to the EMV decision criterion.
b) State the risk profile of the optimal decision according to the EMV criterion.
c) Create a sensitivity table (ie Data Table in Excel) showing how the optimal decision might
change if the probability of the Space Pirates game having competition varies from 0% to
100% in steps 10%.
d) State what the sensitivity table in part c) means in the context of the decision problem.
Additional Requirements
Additional Requirements
Hello Hiring Manager
Am a writer who as been in field of writing for quiet sometime although mostly dealing with offline work, until recently i came online,
I have all what it takes to produce the best since i got 2 years experience in the field of writhing
for more information please feel free to contact me.
Regards:
Martin
Hi
I am a chemical engineer by training and my thesis and a large part of my professional experience was on sensitivity analysis and decisions tree analysis. I have completed projects on quantitative analysis with excellent reviews as you can see from my profile. Since I have produced desicions trees before I have already produced the decision tree for your project which I can send you rightb away if you accept my bid. What is the deadline for this project?
Kind regards
Yiannis
p.s Forgot to mention that if you assign me the project I can definitely deliver it within 4-5 hours